Skip to content
Nations Inquiry — home

UN DESA Population Division · Adult Mortality (Probability of Dying Between 15 and 60)

Adult mortality by country

How likely is a 15-year-old to die before reaching 60?

Of the 222 countries compared in 2023, Monaco had the lowest reading, 25.151, and Lesotho had the highest reading, 415.441. In the middle country the figure was 133.698. Among the 222 countries measured in every edition since 1950, the middle one moved from 370.069 to 133.698.

Share

Share this page

Part ofHealth & Wellbeing

Adult mortality · 2023

Context statistic

Lowest of 222Monaco

25.151

012023 · position · derived

Who leads

The three countries at the lowest end of 222 compared, the three at the other end, and the first on each continent.

  1. 1

    Monaco

    Western Europe

    25.151

    Photo: Martin Weber derivative work: Jjtkk · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale

  2. 2

    United Arab Emirates

    Western Asia

    30.499

    Photo: Unknown author · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale

  3. 3

    South Korea

    Eastern Asia

    32.668

    Photo: Unknown author · CC BY-SA 2.0, greyscale

Highest in 2023

  1. Lesotho415.441
  2. Central African Republic355.452
  3. Nigeria349.494

Where a country sits says how it compares with the others measured, and nothing about why.

Lowest on each continent

02Every measured country

Adult mortality on a map

Each country is shaded by its value, in five groups holding the same number of countries. Hover a country for its value, or select it to open its profile. Below the map, each continent’s middle country.

All regions

Darker is a lower value — the better end.

  • 209.813–415.441
  • 159.010–208.127
  • 107.566–157.380
  • 66.028–107.201
  • 25.151–65.852
  • No reading in 2023
  • Europe

    64.081

    the middle country, of 48 measured · 49 members

    Monaco25.151

    Russia201.793

    Lowest and highest reading in Europe.

  • Americas

    115.549

    the middle country, of 48 measured · 48 members

    Saint Martin56.861

    Haiti225.311

    Lowest and highest reading in Americas.

  • Asia

    120.967

    the middle country, of 51 measured · 52 members

    United Arab Emirates30.499

    Palestine272.912

    Lowest and highest reading in Asia.

  • Oceania

    166.741

    the middle country, of 21 measured · 21 members

    French Polynesia35.289

    Nauru348.322

    Lowest and highest reading in Oceania.

  • Africa

    231.268

    the middle country, of 54 measured · 55 members

    Algeria72.800

    Lesotho415.441

    Lowest and highest reading in Africa.

22 sub-regions, lowest middle country first
  • Western Europe

    54.657

    the middle country, of 9 measured · 9 members

    Monaco25.151

    France65.062

    Lowest and highest reading in Western Europe.

  • Southern Europe

    59.118

    the middle country, of 17 measured · 17 members

    San Marino33.422

    Serbia105.317

    Lowest and highest reading in Southern Europe.

  • Northern Europe

    60.512

    the middle country, of 12 measured · 13 members

    Norway42.400

    Lithuania139.867

    Lowest and highest reading in Northern Europe.

  • Eastern Asia

    66.519

    the middle country, of 8 measured · 8 members

    South Korea32.668

    Mongolia192.727

    Lowest and highest reading in Eastern Asia.

  • Western Asia

    77.378

    the middle country, of 18 measured · 19 members

    United Arab Emirates30.499

    Palestine272.912

    Lowest and highest reading in Western Asia.

  • Caribbean

    107.815

    the middle country, of 24 measured · 24 members

    Saint Martin56.861

    Haiti225.311

    Lowest and highest reading in Caribbean.

  • Northern Africa

    115.328

    the middle country, of 6 measured · 6 members

    Algeria72.800

    Sudan208.127

    Lowest and highest reading in Northern Africa.

  • South America

    121.291

    the middle country, of 12 measured · 12 members

    Chile77.871

    Guyana203.374

    Lowest and highest reading in South America.

  • Southern Asia

    125.065

    the middle country, of 9 measured · 9 members

    Maldives37.940

    Afghanistan201.109

    Lowest and highest reading in Southern Asia.

  • Eastern Europe

    127.709

    the middle country, of 10 measured · 10 members

    Czechia74.421

    Russia201.793

    Lowest and highest reading in Eastern Europe.

  • Central America

    144.543

    the middle country, of 8 measured · 8 members

    Costa Rica84.560

    El Salvador192.429

    Lowest and highest reading in Central America.

  • Central Asia

    152.925

    the middle country, of 5 measured · 5 members

    Tajikistan131.217

    Kyrgyzstan157.380

    Lowest and highest reading in Central Asia.

  • South-eastern Asia

    163.855

    the middle country, of 11 measured · 11 members

    Singapore55.357

    Myanmar209.813

    Lowest and highest reading in South-eastern Asia.

  • Polynesia

    165.503

    the middle country, of 7 measured · 7 members

    French Polynesia35.289

    Tuvalu255.222

    Lowest and highest reading in Polynesia.

  • Melanesia

    166.741

    the middle country, of 5 measured · 5 members

    New Caledonia92.518

    Papua New Guinea224.209

    Lowest and highest reading in Melanesia.

  • Micronesia

    198.436

    the middle country, of 7 measured · 7 members

    Northern Mariana Islands75.535

    Nauru348.322

    Lowest and highest reading in Micronesia.

  • Eastern Africa

    224.265

    the middle country, of 18 measured · 19 members

    Mauritius143.764

    Zimbabwe317.057

    Lowest and highest reading in Eastern Africa.

  • Middle Africa

    235.721

    the middle country, of 9 measured · 9 members

    Gabon204.302

    Central African Republic355.452

    Lowest and highest reading in Middle Africa.

  • Western Africa

    238.829

    the middle country, of 16 measured · 16 members

    Cabo Verde113.398

    Nigeria349.494

    Lowest and highest reading in Western Africa.

  • Southern Africa

    269.550

    the middle country, of 5 measured · 5 members

    Botswana188.695

    Lesotho415.441

    Lowest and highest reading in Southern Africa.

  • Australia and New Zealand

    2 of 2 measured — too few for a middle: Australia, New Zealand.

    Australia43.281

    New Zealand64.498

    Lowest and highest reading in Australia and New Zealand.

  • Northern America

    4 of 4 measured — too few for a middle: Bermuda, Canada, Greenland, United States.

    Bermuda65.852

    Greenland190.716

    Lowest and highest reading in Northern America.

03The whole field at once

The spread

222 countries, one dot each, on one scale — further right is a higher value. Half the countries are above 133.698; a quarter are above 194.817, and a quarter below 75.379. The bar in each row marks that continent’s middle country.

100200300400Africa54 comparedLesotho: 415.441Central African Republic: 355.452Nigeria: 349.494Chad: 344.750Zimbabwe: 317.057Kenya: 316.457South Sudan: 301.240Côte d’Ivoire: 294.088Eswatini: 289.293Somalia: 279.646South Africa: 269.550Benin: 267.026Liberia: 266.206Burkina Faso: 258.399DR Congo: 254.128Burundi: 252.310Mali: 250.653Guinea: 250.319Togo: 245.664Republic of the Congo: 244.892Mozambique: 243.752Tanzania: 242.286Namibia: 238.486Cameroon: 235.721Equatorial Guinea: 234.752Madagascar: 233.274Guinea-Bissau: 231.994Ghana: 230.543Uganda: 230.406Angola: 227.063Gambia: 220.544Sierra Leone: 219.203Malawi: 218.124São Tomé and Príncipe: 213.730Djibouti: 212.242Rwanda: 210.005Sudan: 208.127Niger: 205.770Gabon: 204.302Comoros: 199.054Ethiopia: 197.880Zambia: 193.735Botswana: 188.695Eritrea: 186.717Mauritania: 178.277Libya: 174.907Senegal: 171.630Seychelles: 149.751Mauritius: 143.764Egypt: 133.773Cabo Verde: 113.398Morocco: 96.884Tunisia: 86.167Algeria: 72.800Algeria 72.800Lesotho 415.441Americas48 comparedHaiti: 225.311Guyana: 203.374El Salvador: 192.429Greenland: 190.716Bolivia: 189.589Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: 181.497Bahamas: 163.822Venezuela: 163.287Jamaica: 162.211Guatemala: 161.987Suriname: 159.812Saint Kitts and Nevis: 159.700Trinidad and Tobago: 147.715Belize: 147.416Mexico: 145.582Honduras: 143.504Saint Lucia: 143.350Paraguay: 138.259Dominican Republic: 135.915Dominica: 135.536Grenada: 133.623Nicaragua: 128.288Brazil: 127.631United States Virgin Islands: 116.147Peru: 114.952Ecuador: 111.504Barbados: 108.063United States: 107.697Antigua and Barbuda: 107.566Uruguay: 107.201Cayman Islands: 105.386Argentina: 103.284Cuba: 99.934Colombia: 94.565Montserrat: 94.041Curaçao: 92.713Turks and Caicos Islands: 91.879Panama: 91.209Aruba: 86.185Sint Maarten: 85.171Costa Rica: 84.560Chile: 77.871Anguilla: 75.327British Virgin Islands: 75.155Puerto Rico: 73.071Canada: 66.531Bermuda: 65.852Saint Martin: 56.861Saint Martin 56.861Haiti 225.311Asia51 comparedPalestine: 272.912Myanmar: 209.813Afghanistan: 201.109Mongolia: 192.727Timor-Leste: 182.204Philippines: 179.747Cambodia: 170.228Laos: 168.759Pakistan: 166.421Indonesia: 163.855Thailand: 163.334Yemen: 162.786Nepal: 159.010Kyrgyzstan: 157.380Uzbekistan: 156.189Turkmenistan: 152.925India: 151.102Kazakhstan: 143.456Georgia: 142.607Syria: 137.307Iraq: 132.036Tajikistan: 131.217North Korea: 130.027Vietnam: 127.952Bangladesh: 125.065Bhutan: 120.967Malaysia: 120.111Brunei: 117.340Armenia: 115.247Azerbaijan: 105.984Taiwan: 94.505Sri Lanka: 91.099Türkiye: 88.441China: 82.262Iran: 82.028Saudi Arabia: 81.503Jordan: 73.253Lebanon: 70.521Israel: 60.652Singapore: 55.357Bahrain: 52.039Macau: 50.776Oman: 50.338Japan: 48.536Hong Kong: 47.649Cyprus: 43.636Kuwait: 43.530Maldives: 37.940Qatar: 33.342South Korea: 32.668United Arab Emirates: 30.499United Arab Emirates 30.499Palestine 272.912Europe48 comparedRussia: 201.793Ukraine: 197.820Moldova: 193.218Belarus: 161.169Lithuania: 139.867Latvia: 138.687Romania: 127.870Bulgaria: 127.549Hungary: 109.709Serbia: 105.317Poland: 102.428Montenegro: 101.490Estonia: 96.076Slovakia: 94.758Bosnia and Herzegovina: 89.390North Macedonia: 81.703Croatia: 81.500Czechia: 74.421United Kingdom: 73.232Albania: 71.519Kosovo: 69.539Portugal: 66.028France: 65.062Isle of Man: 64.746Germany: 63.417Finland: 63.365Belgium: 60.287Slovenia: 59.118Iceland: 57.659Austria: 56.799Ireland: 56.388Greece: 55.514Luxembourg: 54.657Netherlands: 52.440Gibraltar: 50.503Spain: 50.470Denmark: 50.359Faroe Islands: 50.255Malta: 46.925Sweden: 46.297Italy: 45.856Norway: 42.400Switzerland: 41.902Vatican City: 40.813Liechtenstein: 37.142Andorra: 35.242San Marino: 33.422Monaco: 25.151Monaco 25.151Russia 201.793Oceania21 comparedNauru: 348.322Tuvalu: 255.222Micronesia: 241.932Marshall Islands: 232.043Papua New Guinea: 224.209Fiji: 216.174Palau: 198.436Kiribati: 195.177Niue: 178.474American Samoa: 167.259Solomon Islands: 166.741Samoa: 165.503Vanuatu: 161.975Tonga: 160.447Guam: 149.770Cook Islands: 133.037New Caledonia: 92.518Northern Mariana Islands: 75.535New Zealand: 64.498Australia: 43.281French Polynesia: 35.289French Polynesia 35.289Nauru 348.322middle country 133.698

04All 222 ever measured

Every country

In order, highest value first — position 1 is the highest value, the way UN DESA Population Division’s own tables read. “=” marks a position shared with another country. UN DESA Population Division ranks nobody on this measure; the position is derived here by ordering the published values. The figure is per 1,000, not a percentage: 200 means one in five 15-year-olds would not reach 60. Men die between 15 and 60 at higher rates than women in practically every country, often by a wide margin, so the both-sexes figure can hide a large gap — the page shows both. Where deaths are not fully registered, the UN estimates the figure from models rather than counts.

The raw table

Showing 25 of 222 countries

  1. 1 of 222LesothoSouthern Africa415.441
  2. 2 of 222Central African RepublicMiddle Africa355.452
  3. 3 of 222NigeriaWestern Africa349.494
  4. 4 of 222NauruMicronesia348.322
  5. 5 of 222ChadMiddle Africa344.750
  6. 6 of 222ZimbabweEastern Africa317.057
  7. 7 of 222KenyaEastern Africa316.457
  8. 8 of 222South SudanEastern Africa301.240
  9. 9 of 222Côte d’IvoireWestern Africa294.088
  10. 10 of 222EswatiniSouthern Africa289.293
  11. 11 of 222SomaliaEastern Africa279.646
  12. 12 of 222PalestineWestern Asia272.912
  13. 13 of 222South AfricaSouthern Africa269.550
  14. 14 of 222BeninWestern Africa267.026
  15. 15 of 222LiberiaWestern Africa266.206
  16. 16 of 222Burkina FasoWestern Africa258.399
  17. 17 of 222TuvaluPolynesia255.222
  18. 18 of 222DR CongoMiddle Africa254.128
  19. 19 of 222BurundiEastern Africa252.310
  20. 20 of 222MaliWestern Africa250.653
  21. 21 of 222GuineaWestern Africa250.319
  22. 22 of 222TogoWestern Africa245.664
  23. 23 of 222Republic of the CongoMiddle Africa244.892
  24. 24 of 222MozambiqueEastern Africa243.752
  25. 25 of 222TanzaniaEastern Africa242.286

Values for 2023. The change column compares 2023 with 2022 only; the sparkline covers the recent editions.

051950–2023 · 74 reference years

Over time

Each point is one year's estimate, 1950 to 2023, as restated by the 2024 revision of World Population Prospects. Because it is built from a single year's death rates, it jumps in a year of war, famine or epidemic and falls back afterwards; the women's and men's lines show whether a change was shared.

100200300400195019601970198019902000201020202023AfricaOceaniaAsiaAmericasEurope
  • the middle country
  • the middle half of countries
  • the middle of the 222 countries measured every time
  • each continent’s middle country
The same, year by year
YearCountriesMiddle countryMiddle halfMeasured every time
2023222133.69875.379 – 194.817133.698
2022222135.50180.872 – 199.876135.501
2021222161.04897.344 – 227.873161.048
2020222149.41186.045 – 210.499149.411
2019222139.68980.618 – 202.894139.689
2018222141.69982.405 – 204.869141.699
2017222143.88786.416 – 208.405143.887
2016222144.84886.840 – 213.178144.848
2015222144.89687.792 – 218.704144.896
2014222145.87989.648 – 223.772145.879
2013222145.64290.644 – 227.403145.642
2012222148.08692.461 – 230.472148.086
2011222149.74794.536 – 231.327149.747
2010222153.12396.747 – 235.915153.123
2009222158.66098.631 – 240.637158.660
2008222158.743100.366 – 248.567158.743
2007222160.635101.943 – 253.310160.635
2006222163.245102.934 – 259.300163.245
2005222163.069104.067 – 261.314163.069
2004222167.867105.582 – 264.007167.867
2003222165.945109.120 – 265.889165.945
2002222168.974112.512 – 266.976168.974
2001222175.243115.179 – 267.481175.243
2000222174.284116.913 – 267.302174.284
1999222180.335123.106 – 272.417180.335
1998222182.243127.830 – 274.825182.243
1997222185.406128.734 – 273.738185.406
1996222185.251132.366 – 280.819185.251
1995222188.123133.873 – 284.771188.123
1994222190.981134.454 – 286.066190.981
1993222193.076136.952 – 289.451193.076
1992222194.030137.907 – 289.479194.030
1991222197.180138.118 – 288.961197.180
1990222197.691139.580 – 289.501197.691
1989222196.049140.950 – 284.990196.049
1988222197.670141.674 – 294.023197.670
1987222198.486141.199 – 290.536198.486
1986222199.897144.135 – 290.682199.897
1985222204.686148.792 – 291.945204.686
1984222207.893148.894 – 295.609207.893
1983222207.642150.813 – 298.923207.642
1982222210.243153.785 – 301.395210.243
1981222214.188154.480 – 304.392214.188
1980222215.267157.977 – 305.432215.267
1979222217.253160.259 – 307.719217.253
1978222219.365160.934 – 313.766219.365
1977222221.318162.893 – 314.244221.318
1976222223.684163.547 – 318.418223.684
1975222228.801165.156 – 327.271228.801
1974222232.917168.286 – 334.346232.917
1973222234.213169.919 – 336.581234.213
1972222240.584172.771 – 343.903240.584
1971222245.827174.122 – 346.349245.827
1970222253.181177.990 – 350.229253.181
1969222253.010182.253 – 351.259253.010
1968222257.507178.824 – 353.506257.507
1967222260.741179.205 – 354.045260.741
1966222268.693183.131 – 366.208268.693
1965222271.985181.952 – 367.017271.985
1964222275.367184.971 – 368.341275.367
1963222282.139187.109 – 377.094282.139
1962222284.949190.403 – 382.578284.949
1961222291.405192.342 – 394.015291.405
1960222299.741197.682 – 401.998299.741
1959222303.468205.431 – 410.289303.468
1958222311.587207.040 – 414.736311.587
1957222316.980211.310 – 419.175316.980
1956222325.858215.601 – 423.143325.858
1955222331.697226.691 – 425.348331.697
1954222338.525230.263 – 429.940338.525
1953222350.226239.063 – 437.437350.226
1952222356.302246.993 – 442.544356.302
1951222366.910253.356 – 448.599366.910
1950222370.069258.577 – 450.209370.069

062022 → 2023

Who rose and fell

The biggest changes in value between the two newest editions — reference years recalculated in one report, not two separate publications. Places are shown second, because they also move when other countries do.

Improved most

before → after
  1. Central African Republic930.235 → 355.452 · 1st → 2nd−574.783
  2. Namibia300.207 → 238.486 · 11th → 27th−61.721
  3. Brunei172.524 → 117.340 · 74th → 125th−55.184
  4. Puerto Rico114.385 → 73.071 · 133rd → 172nd−41.314
  5. Somalia315.957 → 279.646 · 8th → 11th−36.311

Worsened most

before → after
  1. Palestine84.544 → 272.912 · 163rd → 12th+188.368
  2. Libya130.246 → 174.907 · 119th → 70th+44.660
  3. Moldova177.382 → 193.218 · 73rd → 58th+15.836
  4. Macau35.655 → 50.776 · 219th → 197th+15.121
  5. Israel50.324 → 60.652 · 208th → 185th+10.328

222 countries were measured in both 2022 and 2023.

07Across every edition

Adult mortality in records

The extremes of the statistic. A record reached by more than one country names none of them.

08By sex

Inside the number

UN DESA Population Division also publishes separate female and male readings. The gap between them, where both exist.

Of the 222 countries with both readings, the women reading is higher in 0, the men reading in 222. The widest gaps each way:

WomenMenUkraineUkraine, women: 87.602Ukraine, men: 300.040Men +212.438RussiaRussia, women: 98.787Russia, men: 301.034Men +202.248PalestinePalestine, women: 171.477Palestine, men: 365.479Men +194.001El SalvadorEl Salvador, women: 115.406El Salvador, men: 281.200Men +165.794MongoliaMongolia, women: 108.898Mongolia, men: 273.791Men +164.893

09The measure

About adult mortality

Adult mortality is the chance that a 15-year-old will die before reaching 60 if the death rates of the year held throughout their adult life, expressed as deaths per 1,000 people alive at 15. It is the working-age counterpart of child mortality, and it captures the deaths that child-centred measures miss: HIV, violence, road crashes, alcohol and the chronic diseases of middle age.

What the number is: Deaths before age 60 per 1,000 people alive at 15, at that year's death rates.

10Where it fits

Connections

Its part in the Country Index, the statistics whose values line up most closely with it across countries, and others on the same subject.

All statistics

In the Country Index

Context, with no vote

This statistic is published in full under Health & Wellbeing, but does not help decide any Country Index standing.

Health & WellbeingWhich statistics vote, and why

Moves with

Where adult mortality is higher, these tend to be higher too.

Moves against

Where adult mortality is higher, these tend to be lower.

Rank correlation (ρ, from −1 to 1) across countries, on each statistic’s newest edition, out of 386 statistics sharing at least 80 countries with this one. Two statistics that move together do not cause each other.

On the same subject

11Keep reading

Explore further

More from UN DESA Population Division

12Questions

Adult mortality: questions and answers

Which country has the lowest adult mortality?

Monaco, at 25.151, among the 222 countries compared in 2023.

Which country has the highest adult mortality?

Lesotho, at 415.441, among the 222 countries compared in 2023.

How many countries does the Adult Mortality (Probability of Dying Between 15 and 60) cover?

222 in 2023.

What is the world average adult mortality?

This site does not calculate a world average, which would depend on how countries are weighted. In the middle country of the 222 compared in 2023, the figure was 133.698.

Is this UN DESA Population Division’s own ranking?

No. UN DESA Population Division publishes the values but ranks nobody; the position on this page is derived by Nations Inquiry by ordering the published values, and equal values share a position.

How often is the Adult Mortality (Probability of Dying Between 15 and 60) published?

This site holds 74 reference years, 1950–2023, all recalculated in UN DESA Population Division’s 2024 report on one method — not 74 separate publications.

Where does the data come from, and can I download it?

From UN DESA Population Division, under CC BY 3.0 IGO. From World Population Prospects 2024, read from the Population Division's own CSV download, with the women's and men's figures published beside the headline. Projections are excluded. Every edition is on this site’s Datasets pages as a full table, and downloads as a CSV file with every value unrounded.

13Method

Sources, method and citation

Source

Adult Mortality (Probability of Dying Between 15 and 60) — UN DESA Population Division

From World Population Prospects 2024, read from the Population Division's own CSV download, with the women's and men's figures published beside the headline. Projections are excluded.

Newest edition

Report year 2023Data year 2023

Cite the source as: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects 2024, Online Edition.

Licence: CC BY 3.0 IGO, checked 2026-10-03.

The full 2023 table, row for row

How this page reads the numbers

  • UN DESA Population Division ranks nobody on this measure. The position is derived by Nations Inquiry by ordering the published values; equal values share a position.
  • Which end is better follows the publisher’s own reading of the measure.
  • A country is named at an end only when it holds that value alone. Where several share it, the page says how many and names none first.
  • Values are stored exactly as published and trimmed only for display. “The middle country” is the median of the countries measured, not a world average.

The file itself, column by column — where it came from, what each column holds, and every edition as a CSV — is on its dataset page.

Photographs

The countries at the top of this statistic, from their profiles: Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale, each used under the licence named.

Cite this page

Nations Inquiry (2026). Adult mortality by country: Adult Mortality (Probability of Dying Between 15 and 60), data from UN DESA Population Division. https://nationsinquiry.com/statistics/adult-mortality

Feedback

Feedback

How are we doing?

Two answers are required — a rating and your email. The rest is up to you.