Photo: Arjuno3 · CC BY 2.0 · via Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale
Topic 11 of 18 · Country Index 2026
Guatemala: Risk & Resilience
How exposed is a country to crisis, and how ready is it to cope?
Guatemala is placed 167th of 193 countries on risk & resilience in the Country Index 2026, from 4 of its 4 key statistics. Readings behind it: World Risk Index 11.36 (2025); INFORM Risk Index 5.8 (2025).
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Risk & Resilience
167th
of 193 countries placed
Placed from 4 of 4 key statistics
- 11.36World Risk Index, 2025WorldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk)
- 5.8INFORM Risk Index, 2025INFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk)
- 0.455Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN), 2024ND-GAIN Vulnerability (0–1, where 1 is the most vulnerable)
- 39.13Able to Raise Emergency Funds Within 30 Days, 2024Adults who could raise emergency funds within 30 days without great difficulty (% of population aged 15+)
01The evidence
The 4 key statistics that decide it
Only these place Guatemala on risk & resilience — one vote each. Every value is the publisher’s own, read at the edition the Country Index 2026 used — or, for a survey-based key, each country’s latest reading; the grey ticks are every other country it was compared with, lowest on the left.
Key 1 of 4
World Risk Index
Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV), Ruhr University Bochum
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY 4.0
11.36
WorldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk)
Lower is better
Guatemala: 11.36. Across the 193 countries in this edition, values run from 0.18 (Monaco) to 46.56 (Philippines); the world median is 4.17.
- World median
- 4.17
- Best in Central America
- 7.31 Belize
- Land neighbours
- Belize 7.31 · Honduras 17.78 · Mexico 38.96 · El Salvador 14.41
Key 2 of 4
INFORM Risk Index
European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee
2026 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY 4.0 (via the European Commission's reuse policy)
5.8
INFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk)
Lower is better
Guatemala: 5.8. Across the 191 countries in this edition, values run from 0.7 (Singapore) to 8.5 (South Sudan); the world median is 3.7.
- World median
- 3.7
- Best in Central America
- 3.7 Costa Rica
- Land neighbours
- Belize 3.8 · Honduras 5.6 · Mexico 4.8 · El Salvador 4.2
Key 3 of 4
Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN)
Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame
2024 edition · data for 2024 · CC BY 3.0 Unported
0.455
ND-GAIN Vulnerability (0–1, where 1 is the most vulnerable)
Lower is better
Ranked 104th of 190 by Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame
Guatemala: 0.455. Across the 190 countries in this edition, values run from 0.263 (Norway) to 0.655 (Mauritania); the world median is 0.45.
- World median
- 0.45
- Best in Central America
- 0.387 Costa Rica
- Land neighbours
- Belize 0.483 · Honduras 0.471 · Mexico 0.412 · El Salvador 0.452
Key 4 of 4
Able to Raise Emergency Funds Within 30 Days
World Bank Group
Latest reading per country, 2021–2024 · Guatemala’s is from 2024 · CC BY 4.0
39.13
Adults who could raise emergency funds within 30 days without great difficulty (% of population aged 15+)
Higher is better
Guatemala: 39.13. Across the 142 countries at their latest reading, values run from 16.49 (South Sudan) to 93.69 (Sweden); the world median is 53.85.
- World median
- 53.85
- Best in Central America
- 64.76 Belize
- Land neighbours
- Belize 64.76 · Honduras 54.53 · Mexico 53.15 · El Salvador 52.31
02Over time
Which way Guatemala is moving
Each key’s published value, edition by edition, beside the world median. The Country Index 2026 is the first edition of the standing, so the standing itself has no history to chart yet.
World Risk Index
WorldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk) · lower is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala fell from 11.46 in 2000 to 11.36 in 2025; the world median went from 4.55 to 4.17.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2025 11.36 4.17 2024 11.36 4.17 2023 11.37 4.27 2022 11.76 4.08 2021 11.78 4.23 2020 11.24 4.12 2019 11.24 4.23 2018 11.30 4.14 2017 12.19 4.24 2016 12.29 4.23 2015 11.21 4.04 2014 11.79 4.07 2013 10.04 4.08 2012 10.58 4.07 2011 10.64 3.99 2010 10.51 3.86 2009 10.39 3.94 2008 11.01 4.11 2007 11.14 4.41 2006 11.16 4.51 2005 11.18 4.54 2004 11.51 4.42 2003 11.50 4.50 2002 12.70 4.65 2001 11.51 4.37 2000 11.46 4.55 INFORM Risk Index
INFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk) · lower is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala rose from 5.3 in 2016 to 5.8 in 2025; the world median went from 3.6 to 3.7.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2025 5.8 3.7 2024 5.8 3.5 2023 5.7 3.6 2022 5.7 3.6 2021 5.6 3.6 2020 5.4 3.6 2019 5.5 3.6 2018 5.6 3.5 2017 5.4 3.5 2016 5.3 3.6 Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN)
ND-GAIN Vulnerability (0–1, where 1 is the most vulnerable) · lower is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala fell from 0.502 in 2000 to 0.455 in 2024; the world median went from 0.476 to 0.45.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2024 0.45543 0.449649 2023 0.45765 0.449167 2022 0.45402 0.447422 2021 0.46223 0.447831 2020 0.46462 0.447902 2019 0.46277 0.447883 2018 0.45455 0.449652 2017 0.45752 0.450532 2016 0.47033 0.451843 2015 0.47617 0.451496 2014 0.47594 0.451502 2013 0.47244 0.454946 2012 0.47519 0.454269 2011 0.47837 0.458012 2010 0.48100 0.460715 2009 0.48632 0.464712 2008 0.48756 0.463801 2007 0.48945 0.466738 2006 0.48765 0.468701 2005 0.49623 0.470646 2004 0.49617 0.472029 2003 0.49751 0.471635 2002 0.49856 0.472031 2001 0.50123 0.476366 2000 0.50200 0.475585
03In context
Guatemala beside its neighbours
A position reads best beside the countries around it. Every position below is a place among all 193 countries on risk & resilience, never a place within the region.
Guatemala and the countries it borders
Standing among all 193; the key columns are the publishers’ own values.
| Country | Standing | World Risk IndexWorldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk) | INFORM Risk IndexINFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk) | Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN)ND-GAIN Vulnerability (0–1, where 1 is the most vulnerable) | Able to Raise Emergency Funds Within 30 DaysAdults who could raise emergency funds within 30 days without great difficulty (% of population aged 15+) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Belize | 110th | 7.31 | 3.8 | 0.483 | 64.76 |
 El Salvador | =136th | 14.41 | 4.2 | 0.452 | 52.31 |
 Mexico | 142nd | 38.96 | 4.8 | 0.412 | 53.15 |
 Honduras | 154th | 17.78 | 5.6 | 0.471 | 54.53 |
| Guatemala | 167th | 11.36 | 5.8 | 0.455 | 39.13 |
“—”: no published reading in that edition. What a standing is
Across Central America
Every country in the sub-region, by its place among all 193.
Placed either side on risk & resilience
The countries immediately above and below Guatemala in the topic’s list.
04Context, no vote
Where Guatemala is ahead of the world, and behind
23 more statistics filed under risk & resilience, published in full and deliberately given no vote in the standing. Select a row for the publisher, the rank and the links.
Ahead of the world median5
Statistics on which Guatemala does better than the middle country measured.
Per Capita Food Supply VariabilityFAO · 2024 · world median 292229▲ Improved since 2014
Guatemala: 22 · world median 29 · Year-to-year variability of the food supply (kcal per person per day). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2024 edition, data for 2024.
Published values in that edition run from 4 to 227; lower is better.
Renewable Internal Freshwater Resources per CapitaFAO · 2022 · world median 2,5286,1182,528No real change since 2012
Guatemala: 6,118 · world median 2,528 · Renewable internal freshwater (cubic metres per person). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2022 edition, data for 2022.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 445,023; higher is better.
Position 62nd of 181 · derived.
Water StressFAO · 2023 · world median 105.7410No real change since 2013
Guatemala: 5.74 · world median 10 · Freshwater withdrawal as a share of available resources (%). Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2023 edition, data for 2023.
Published values in that edition run from 0.03 to 3,851; lower is better.
Position 114th of 177 · derived, 1st = worst.
Global Report on Food CrisesFSIN · 2024 · world median 221822▲ Improved since 2016
Guatemala: 18 · world median 22 · In IPC Phase 3+ (% of analysed population). Food Security Information Network (FSIN), 2025 edition, data for 2024.
Published values in that edition run from 3 to 56; lower is better.
Position 28th of 44 · derived, 1st = worst.
Baseline Water Stress (Aqueduct)WRI · 2019 · world median 1.6631.0271.663No earlier reading
Guatemala: 1.027 · world median 1.663 · Baseline water stress score (0–5). World Resources Institute (WRI), 2023 edition, data for 2019.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 5; lower is better.
Behind the world median11
Statistics on which Guatemala does worse than the middle country measured.
Adults Who Experienced a Natural Disaster or Severe WeatherWorld Bank Group · 2024 · world median 20.4621.3720.46No earlier reading
Guatemala: 21.37 · world median 20.46 · Adults who experienced a natural disaster or severe weather in the past three years (% of population aged 15+). World Bank Group, 2024 edition, data for 2024.
Published values in that edition run from 2.738 to 77.54; lower is better.
Position 47th of 98 · derived, 1st = worst.
INFORM Severity IndexACAPS · 2025 · world median 3.13.33.1▼ Worsened since 2020
Guatemala: 3.3 · world median 3.1 · INFORM Severity (1–5, most severe crisis). ACAPS, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 1.3 to 4.7; lower is better.
Position 36th of 81 · derived, 1st = worst.
Drought Risk (Aqueduct)WRI · 2019 · world median 2.6232.8622.623No earlier reading
Guatemala: 2.862 · world median 2.623 · Drought risk score (0–5). World Resources Institute (WRI), 2023 edition, data for 2019.
Published values in that edition run from 0.553 to 4.081; lower is better.
Ranked 55th of 138 by WRI (1st = worst).
ND-GAIN Country IndexNotre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame · 2024 · world median 47.4443.6447.44▲ Improved since 2014
Guatemala: 43.64 · world median 47.44 · ND-GAIN Index (0–100, where 100 is best placed to adapt). Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame, 2024 edition, data for 2024.
Published values in that edition run from 26.42 to 71.85; higher is better.
Ranked 120th of 190 by Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame.
Political Stability and Absence of ViolenceWorld Bank Group · 2025 · world median 0.171-0.2130.171▲ Improved since 2015
Guatemala: -0.213 · world median 0.171 · Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5). World Bank Group, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from -2.506 to 1.563; higher is better.
Position 137th of 211 · derived.
Children's Climate Risk IndexUNICEF · 2020 · world median 55.95No earlier reading
Guatemala: 5.9 · world median 5 · Children's Climate Risk Index (0–10, higher is more risk). UNICEF, 2021 edition, data for 2020.
Published values in that edition run from 1 to 8.7; lower is better.
Ranked 54th of 163 by UNICEF (1st = worst).
Climate Readiness (ND-GAIN)Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame · 2024 · world median 0.3870.3280.387▲ Improved since 2014
Guatemala: 0.328 · world median 0.387 · ND-GAIN Readiness (0–1, where 1 is the most ready). Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame, 2024 edition, data for 2024.
Published values in that edition run from 0.137 to 0.749; higher is better.
Ranked 132nd of 192 by Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame.
Riverine Flood Risk (Aqueduct)WRI · 2019 · world median 2.4033.5132.403No earlier reading
Guatemala: 3.513 · world median 2.403 · Riverine flood risk score (0–5). World Resources Institute (WRI), 2023 edition, data for 2019.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 5; lower is better.
Ranked 44th of 163 by WRI (1st = worst).
World Risk Poll Resilience IndexLloyd's Register Foundation · 2023 · world median 534753No earlier reading
Guatemala: 47 · world median 53 · Resilience Index, 0–100 (higher = more reported capacity to cope with a shock; the mean of individual, household, community and societal sub-indices). Lloyd's Register Foundation, 2024 edition, data for 2023.
Published values in that edition run from 29 to 74; higher is better.
Days Above 35°CECMWF · 2025 · world median 3.4832.873.48No real change since 2015
Guatemala: 32.87 · world median 3.48 · Days a year with a maximum temperature above 35°C, averaged over the country’s land. World Bank Group (Climate Change Knowledge Portal), from Copernicus ERA5 (ECMWF), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 222.89; lower is better.
Firms Whose Assets Were Damaged by Extreme WeatherWorld Bank Group · 2026 · world median 9.48517.079.485No earlier reading
Guatemala: 17.07 · world median 9.485 · Firms whose physical assets were damaged by extreme weather (%). World Bank Group, 2026 edition, data for 2026.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 59.21; lower is better.
Position 32nd of 163 · derived, 1st = worst.
No better end7
These describe the shape of a country — more is not better or worse, only different — so they are never ahead or behind.
Refugees by Country of OriginUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 1,27234,9941,272Moved since 2015
Guatemala: 34,994 · world median 1,272 · Refugees under UNHCR's mandate from this country, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 5,224,131.
Burned AreaGWIS · 2025 · world median 13,824215,28113,824No real change since 2015
Guatemala: 215,281 · world median 13,824 · Burned area (hectares). European Commission Joint Research Centre — Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 50,562,035.
Asylum-Seekers by Country of AsylumUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 1,8364,0881,836Moved since 2015
Guatemala: 4,088 · world median 1,836 · Asylum-seekers awaiting a decision, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 3,718,945.
Internally Displaced People of Concern to UNHCRUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 489,650573,000489,650Moved since 1994
Guatemala: 573,000 · world median 489,650 · Internally displaced people protected or assisted by UNHCR, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 4,099 to 9,139,309.
Temperature Change on LandFAO · 2025 · world median 1.4741.4711.474Moved since 2015
Guatemala: 1.471 · world median 1.474 · Change in mean land-surface temperature against the country's own 1951–1980 average, °C. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0.34 to 3.294.
Refugee Population by Country of AsylumUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 12,2691,58612,269Moved since 2015
Guatemala: 1,586 · world median 12,269 · Refugees under UNHCR's mandate hosted, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 2,655,191.
Population Living Below 5 m ElevationCenter for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University · 2015 · world median 2.9540.2062.954No real change since 1990
Guatemala: 0.206 · world median 2.954 · Population living below 5 m elevation (% of total population). Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University, 2015 edition, data for 2015.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 78.48.
No current reading for Guatemala
Stateless Persons by Country of Residence. Listed rather than hidden, so the page can be checked against it.
“Position · derived” is this site’s ordering of the published values, 1st = best unless the row says otherwise; the publisher ranks no country on it. Rank, position and standing
05Country Index 2026
Risk & Resilience among Guatemala’s 16 topics
Risk & Resilience is Guatemala’s 16th best-placed topic of 16. Strongest first, each marker at its share of that topic’s field.
- Environment & Sustainability28th of 1863/4 keys
- Work & Labourjoint 72nd of 1824/4 keys
- Energy66th of 1653/3 keys
- Governance & Institutionsjoint 91st of 1944/4 keys
- Peace & Security85th of 1774/4 keys
- Economy & Innovation95th of 1764/4 keys
- Food & Agriculture108th of 1844/4 keys
- Democracy & Civil Liberties118th of 1984/4 keys
- Gender & Equality111th of 1834/4 keys
- Digital & Technology121st of 1984/4 keys
- Mobility & Trade113th of 1774/4 keys
- Development & Human Capital144th of 1963/3 keys
- Education & Knowledge147th of 1984/4 keys
- Health & Wellbeing156th of 2004/4 keys
- Poverty & Inequality133rd of 1593/3 keys
- Risk & Resilience167th of 1934/4 keys
06The top of the list
Who leads on risk & resilience
The three countries placed highest of 193, and the leaders Guatemala can most readily be measured against.
1
LiechtensteinWestern Europe
1st of 193 · 2 of 4 keys
Photo: Guido Radig,Inkey · CC BY 3.0, greyscale
2
LuxembourgWestern Europe
2nd of 193 · 3 of 4 keys
Photo: Michal Osmenda from Brussels, Belgium · CC BY-SA 2.0, greyscale
3
DenmarkNorthern Europe
3rd of 193 · 4 of 4 keys
Photo: User:Aconcagua · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale
Placed highest nearby
Highest in Americas
Saint Lucia23rd3/4 keysHighest in Central America
Costa Rica=104th4/4 keysThis page
Guatemala167th4/4 keys
Positions out of 193 placed on the topic. A country needs readings on enough keys to be placed, and the top of the list is often held on fewer of them.
07Questions
Guatemala on risk & resilience: questions answered
Every answer is built from the numbers on this page, so none can say something the page does not.
How does Guatemala rank on risk & resilience?
Guatemala is placed 167th of 193 countries on Risk & Resilience in the Country Index 2026, from 4 of its 4 key statistics (World Risk Index, INFORM Risk Index, Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN) and Able to Raise Emergency Funds Within 30 Days). The position is this site’s ordering of published statistics, not a rank any publisher printed.
What is the latest World Risk Index figure for Guatemala?
11.36 in 2025 (worldRiskIndex score (0–100, where 100 is the most at risk)), according to Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV), Ruhr University Bochum. The world median in the same edition was 4.17.
What is the latest INFORM Risk Index figure for Guatemala?
5.8 in 2025 (iNFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk)), according to European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee. The world median in the same edition was 3.7.
How does Guatemala compare with Mexico on risk & resilience?
Mexico is placed 142nd of 193, and Guatemala 167th. World Risk Index: Mexico 38.96, Guatemala 11.36; INFORM Risk Index: Mexico 4.8, Guatemala 5.8; Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN): Mexico 0.412, Guatemala 0.455; Able to Raise Emergency Funds Within 30 Days: Mexico 53.15, Guatemala 39.13.
How have Guatemala’s risk & resilience figures changed?
World Risk Index fell from 11.46 in 2000 to 11.36 in 2025; INFORM Risk Index rose from 5.3 in 2016 to 5.8 in 2025; Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN) fell from 0.502 in 2000 to 0.455 in 2024.
Which risk & resilience statistics are missing for Guatemala?
No current reading is published for Guatemala on Stateless Persons by Country of Residence. They are listed rather than hidden, so the evidence on the page can be checked against it.
08Method
Method, sources and how to cite
What this topic does not measure
This topic does not forecast when a disaster will strike, and it does not measure financial or economic risk. Water stress is measured under Environment & Sustainability. Displacement caused by disasters and the severity of crises already under way are published here as context.
How the Risk & Resilience standing is decided
A standing is this site’s ordering, named with its edition — never a publisher’s rank. 4 key statistics vote, one vote each; every country’s published value becomes a place within that key’s own field, the places are averaged, and the average is never published. A country needs 2 of the 4 keys to be placed.
The risk & resilience method, step by stepHow every standing on this site is built
The key statistics and their licences
- World Risk Index — Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV), Ruhr University Bochum, CC BY 4.0
- INFORM Risk Index — European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee, CC BY 4.0 (via the European Commission's reuse policy)
- Climate Vulnerability (ND-GAIN) — Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-GAIN), University of Notre Dame, CC BY 3.0 Unported
- Able to Raise Emergency Funds Within 30 Days — World Bank Group, CC BY 4.0
The other 23 statistics on this page come from 12 publishers, each named beside its numbers, with every edition and licence on the datasets pages.
The standing itself is part of the Country Index 2026, published under CC BY-SA 4.0.
Photographs
Guatemala’s banner and the countries placed highest, from their profiles: Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale, each used under the licence named.
- Guatemala (banner) — Arjuno3, CC BY 2.0
- Liechtenstein — Guido Radig,Inkey, CC BY 3.0
- Luxembourg — Michal Osmenda from Brussels, Belgium, CC BY-SA 2.0
- Denmark — User:Aconcagua, CC BY-SA 3.0
Cite this page
Nations Inquiry (2026). Guatemala: Risk & Resilience — standing and statistics, Country Index 2026. https://nationsinquiry.com/countries/guatemala/risk