
Photo: Arjuno3 · CC BY 2.0 · via Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale
Topic 10 of 18 · Country Index 2026
Guatemala: Peace & Security
Is a country at peace, and how heavily armed is it?
Guatemala is placed 85th of 177 countries on peace & security in the Country Index 2026, from 4 of its 4 key statistics. Readings behind it: Political Stability and Absence of Violence -0.213 (2025); Physical Violence Index 0.721 (2025).
Share
Peace & Security
85th
of 177 countries placed
Placed from 4 of 4 key statistics
- -0.213Political Stability and Absence of Violence, 2025Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5)
- 0.721Physical Violence Index, 2025Freedom from political killings and torture (0–1)
- 0.461Political Violence by Non-State Actors, 2025Original latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence
- 42.6Global Militarisation Index, 2023GMI score (higher means a heavier military weight)
01The evidence
The 4 key statistics that decide it
Only these place Guatemala on peace & security — one vote each. Every value is the publisher’s own, read at the edition the Country Index 2026 used; the grey ticks are every other country it was compared with, lowest on the left.
Key 1 of 4
Political Stability and Absence of Violence
World Bank Group
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY 4.0
-0.213
Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5)
Higher is better
Guatemala: -0.213. Across the 211 countries in this edition, values run from -2.506 (Yemen) to 1.563 (Andorra); the world median is 0.171.
- World median
- 0.171
- Best in Central America
- 1.223 Costa Rica
- Land neighbours
- Belize 0.81 · Honduras -0.437 · Mexico -0.608 · El Salvador 0.111
Key 2 of 4
Physical Violence Index
V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY-SA 4.0
0.721
Freedom from political killings and torture (0–1)
Higher is better
Guatemala: 0.721. Across the 176 countries in this edition, values run from 0.053 (North Korea) to 0.989 (Sweden); the world median is 0.79.
- World median
- 0.79
- Best in Central America
- 0.964 Costa Rica
- Land neighbours
- Honduras 0.726 · Mexico 0.489 · El Salvador 0.356
Key 3 of 4
Political Violence by Non-State Actors
V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg
2025 edition · data for 2025 · CC BY-SA 4.0
0.461
Original latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence
Lower is better
Guatemala: 0.461. Across the 171 countries in this edition, values run from -3.182 (Luxembourg) to 3.375 (Myanmar); the world median is -0.661.
- World median
- -0.661
- Best in Central America
- -2.391 Costa Rica
- Land neighbours
- Honduras -0.516 · Mexico 2.03
Key 4 of 4
Global Militarisation Index
Bonn International Centre for Conflict Studies (BICC)
2023 edition · data for 2023 · CC BY
42.6
GMI score (higher means a heavier military weight)
Lower is better
Ranked 143rd of 149 by BICC
Guatemala: 42.6. Across the 149 countries in this edition, values run from 3.512 (Haiti) to 351.09 (Ukraine); the world median is 100.66.
- World median
- 100.66
- Best in Central America
- 42.6 Guatemala
- Land neighbours
- Belize 53.52 · Honduras 73.31 · Mexico 51.82 · El Salvador 90.75
02Over time
Which way Guatemala is moving
Each key’s published value, edition by edition, beside the world median. The Country Index 2026 is the first edition of the standing, so the standing itself has no history to chart yet.
Political Stability and Absence of Violence
Political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5) · higher is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala rose from -0.96 in 2000 to -0.213 in 2025; the world median went from -0.021 to 0.171.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2025 -0.2129 0.1706 2024 -0.1067 0.1385 2023 -0.2069 0.1269 2022 -0.3100 0.0991 2021 -0.5896 0.0836 2020 -0.5800 0.0582 2019 -0.7074 0.0678 2018 -0.6947 0.1121 2017 -0.7081 0.0177 2016 -0.6594 -0.0161 2015 -0.7089 0.0464 2014 -0.7369 0.0366 2013 -0.7425 -0.0060 2012 -0.7309 0.0470 2011 -0.7823 -0.0034 2010 -0.8195 0.0100 2009 -0.8080 0.1579 2008 -0.7809 0.0744 2007 -0.8448 0.1154 2006 -0.8874 0.0812 2005 -0.9190 0.0308 2004 -0.9509 -0.0307 2003 -0.9507 0.0683 2002 -1.0285 -0.0154 2000 -0.9604 -0.0212 Physical Violence Index
Freedom from political killings and torture (0–1) · higher is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala rose from 0.579 in 2000 to 0.721 in 2025; the world median went from 0.728 to 0.79.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2025 0.721 0.7900 2024 0.697 0.7850 2023 0.712 0.7885 2022 0.700 0.8190 2021 0.700 0.8245 2020 0.700 0.8265 2019 0.689 0.8015 2018 0.665 0.8200 2017 0.644 0.7880 2016 0.629 0.7865 2015 0.620 0.7930 2014 0.620 0.7790 2013 0.620 0.7700 2012 0.620 0.7805 2011 0.620 0.7900 2010 0.620 0.7990 2009 0.620 0.7890 2008 0.620 0.7770 2007 0.617 0.7700 2006 0.617 0.7700 2005 0.617 0.7550 2004 0.617 0.7700 2003 0.579 0.7600 2002 0.579 0.7440 2001 0.579 0.7480 2000 0.579 0.7280 Political Violence by Non-State Actors
Original latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence · lower is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala rose from 0.11 in 2000 to 0.461 in 2025; the world median went from -0.766 to -0.661.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2025 0.461 -0.661 2024 0.461 -0.626 2023 0.507 -0.617 2022 0.572 -0.522 2021 0.505 -0.530 2020 0.086 -0.620 2019 0.037 -0.620 2018 0.037 -0.787 2017 0.037 -0.651 2016 0.110 -0.633 2015 0.110 -0.757 2014 0.110 -0.748 2013 0.110 -0.755 2012 0.110 -0.755 2011 0.110 -0.737 2010 0.110 -0.767 2009 0.110 -0.767 2008 0.110 -0.798 2007 0.110 -0.801 2006 0.110 -0.847 2005 0.110 -0.743 2004 0.110 -0.847 2003 0.110 -0.818 2002 0.110 -0.770 2001 0.110 -0.760 2000 0.110 -0.766 Global Militarisation Index
GMI score (higher means a heavier military weight) · lower is better
GuatemalaWorld median
Guatemala fell from 75.42 in 2000 to 42.6 in 2023; the world median went from 120.02 to 100.66.
Every year’s figures
Year Guatemala World median 2023 42.6 100.7 2022 44.9 100.9 2021 43.1 102.9 2020 45.0 104.4 2019 55.4 101.6 2018 55.0 98.1 2017 57.7 101.3 2016 41.7 102.0 2015 39.9 105.7 2014 50.4 103.0 2013 52.6 108.5 2012 53.0 109.5 2011 50.3 112.0 2010 50.7 114.8 2009 49.3 117.0 2008 44.3 114.4 2007 42.3 117.1 2006 44.2 116.5 2005 44.5 113.9 2004 60.1 113.6 2003 70.7 117.9 2002 69.9 120.1 2001 77.6 122.0 2000 75.4 120.0
03In context
Guatemala beside its neighbours
A position reads best beside the countries around it. Every position below is a place among all 177 countries on peace & security, never a place within the region.
Guatemala and the countries it borders
Standing among all 177; the key columns are the publishers’ own values.
| Country | Standing | Political Stability and Absence of ViolencePolitical Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5) | Physical Violence IndexFreedom from political killings and torture (0–1) | Political Violence by Non-State ActorsOriginal latent estimate (≈ −3.5 to +4); higher = more violence | Global Militarisation IndexGMI score (higher means a heavier military weight) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11th | 0.81 | — | — | 53.52 | |
| 85th | -0.213 | 0.721 | 0.461 | 42.6 | |
| =91st | -0.437 | 0.726 | -0.516 | 73.31 | |
| 107th | 0.111 | 0.356 | — | 90.75 | |
| =117th | -0.608 | 0.489 | 2.03 | 51.82 |
“—”: no published reading in that edition. What a standing is
Across Central America
Every country in the sub-region, by its place among all 177.
Placed either side on peace & security
The countries immediately above and below Guatemala in the topic’s list.
04Context, no vote
Where Guatemala is ahead of the world, and behind
12 more statistics filed under peace & security, published in full and deliberately given no vote in the standing. Select a row for the publisher, the rank and the links.
Ahead of the world median1
Statistics on which Guatemala does better than the middle country measured.
Armed Forces Personnel (% of population)U.S. Department of State · 2019 · world median 0.260.110.26▼ Worsened since 2009
Guatemala: 0.11 · world median 0.26 · Active-duty armed forces personnel (% of population). U.S. Department of State, 2019 edition, data for 2019.
Published values in that edition run from 0.04 to 4.6; lower is better.
Behind the world median7
Statistics on which Guatemala does worse than the middle country measured.
Military Dimension IndexV-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg · 2025 · world median 0.10.20.1▲ Improved since 2015
Guatemala: 0.2 · world median 0.1 · Military dimension index (0–1; higher = larger military role). V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 1; lower is better.
State Authority over TerritoryV-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg · 2025 · world median 95.388.3395.3▼ Worsened since 2015
Guatemala: 88.33 · world median 95.3 · Territory under effective state control (% of official territory). V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 47.56 to 100; higher is better.
Deaths in Organized ViolenceUCDP · 2025 · world median 0380No real change since 2015
Guatemala: 38 · world median 0 · Deaths in organized violence (people). Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 90,345; lower is better.
Position 43rd of 59 · derived, 1st = worst.
Civilian Deaths in Organized ViolenceUCDP · 2025 · world median 0140No real change since 2015
Guatemala: 14 · world median 0 · Civilians killed in organized violence (people). Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 65,911; lower is better.
INFORM Risk IndexEuropean Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee · 2025 · world median 3.75.83.7▼ Worsened since 2016
Guatemala: 5.8 · world median 3.7 · INFORM Risk score (0–10, where 10 is the highest risk). European Commission Joint Research Centre, with the Inter-Agency Standing Committee, 2026 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0.7 to 8.5; lower is better.
Position 30th of 191 · derived, 1st = worst.
Deaths in Non-State ConflictUCDP · 2025 · world median 0240▲ Improved since 2015
Guatemala: 24 · world median 0 · Deaths in non-state conflict (people). Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 7,827; lower is better.
Government Cyber Security CapacityV-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg · 2025 · world median 0.196-1.5330.196▼ Worsened since 2015
Guatemala: -1.533 · world median 0.196 · Original latent estimate (≈ −3.6 to +3.7); higher = more capacity. V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from -2.66 to 3.715; higher is better.
Position 168th of 176 · derived.
Level with the median, or no median to compare1
Deaths in State-Based Armed ConflictUCDP · 2025 · world median 000No real change since 2015
Guatemala: 0 · world median 0 · Deaths in state-based armed conflict (people). Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 90,323; lower is better.
No better end3
These describe the shape of a country — more is not better or worse, only different — so they are never ahead or behind.
Refugees by Country of OriginUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 1,27234,9941,272Moved since 2015
Guatemala: 34,994 · world median 1,272 · Refugees under UNHCR's mandate from this country, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 5,224,131.
Internally Displaced People of Concern to UNHCRUNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency · 2025 · world median 489,650573,000489,650Moved since 1994
Guatemala: 573,000 · world median 489,650 · Internally displaced people protected or assisted by UNHCR, end of year (people). UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency, 2025 edition, data for 2025.
Published values in that edition run from 4,099 to 9,139,309.
Arms Imports (% of total imports)U.S. Department of State · 2019 · world median 0.30.10.3Moved since 2009
Guatemala: 0.1 · world median 0.3 · Arms imports (% of all imports of goods and services). U.S. Department of State, 2019 edition, data for 2019.
Published values in that edition run from 0 to 61.
“Position · derived” is this site’s ordering of the published values, 1st = best unless the row says otherwise; the publisher ranks no country on it. Rank, position and standing
05Country Index 2026
Peace & Security among Guatemala’s 16 topics
Peace & Security is Guatemala’s 5th best-placed topic of 16. Strongest first, each marker at its share of that topic’s field.
- Environment & Sustainability28th of 1863/4 keys
- Work & Labourjoint 72nd of 1824/4 keys
- Energy66th of 1653/3 keys
- Governance & Institutionsjoint 91st of 1944/4 keys
- Peace & Security85th of 1774/4 keys
- Economy & Innovation95th of 1764/4 keys
- Food & Agriculture108th of 1844/4 keys
- Democracy & Civil Liberties118th of 1984/4 keys
- Gender & Equality111th of 1834/4 keys
- Digital & Technology121st of 1984/4 keys
- Mobility & Trade113th of 1774/4 keys
- Development & Human Capital144th of 1963/3 keys
- Education & Knowledge147th of 1984/4 keys
- Health & Wellbeing156th of 2004/4 keys
- Poverty & Inequality133rd of 1593/3 keys
- Risk & Resilience167th of 1934/4 keys
06The top of the list
Who leads on peace & security
The three countries placed highest of 177, and the leaders Guatemala can most readily be measured against.
1Iceland
Northern Europe
1st of 177 · 3 of 4 keys
Photo: Hansueli Krapf · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale
2Costa Rica
Central America
2nd of 177 · 3 of 4 keys
Photo: Henry Zbyszynski from Capitola California, USA · CC BY 2.0, greyscale
3Malta
Southern Europe
3rd of 177 · 4 of 4 keys
Photo: Dirk Heldmaier derivative work: Jjtkk · CC BY-SA 3.0, greyscale
Placed highest nearby
Highest in Americas
Costa Rica2nd3/4 keys
This page
Guatemala85th4/4 keys
Positions out of 177 placed on the topic. A country needs readings on enough keys to be placed, and the top of the list is often held on fewer of them.
07Analysis
Charts and analysis about Guatemala and peace & security
08Questions
Guatemala on peace & security: questions answered
Every answer is built from the numbers on this page, so none can say something the page does not.
How does Guatemala rank on peace & security?
Guatemala is placed 85th of 177 countries on Peace & Security in the Country Index 2026, from 4 of its 4 key statistics (Political Stability and Absence of Violence, Physical Violence Index, Political Violence by Non-State Actors and Global Militarisation Index). The position is this site’s ordering of published statistics, not a rank any publisher printed.
What is the latest Political Stability and Absence of Violence figure for Guatemala?
-0.213 in 2025 (political Stability estimate (−2.5 to 2.5)), according to World Bank Group. The world median in the same edition was 0.171.
What is the latest Physical Violence Index figure for Guatemala?
0.721 in 2025 (freedom from political killings and torture (0–1)), according to V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg. The world median in the same edition was 0.79.
How does Guatemala compare with Mexico on peace & security?
Mexico is placed joint 117th of 177, and Guatemala 85th. Political Stability and Absence of Violence: Mexico -0.608, Guatemala -0.213; Physical Violence Index: Mexico 0.489, Guatemala 0.721; Political Violence by Non-State Actors: Mexico 2.03, Guatemala 0.461; Global Militarisation Index: Mexico 51.82, Guatemala 42.6.
How have Guatemala’s peace & security figures changed?
Political Stability and Absence of Violence rose from -0.96 in 2000 to -0.213 in 2025; Physical Violence Index rose from 0.579 in 2000 to 0.721 in 2025; Political Violence by Non-State Actors rose from 0.11 in 2000 to 0.461 in 2025; Global Militarisation Index fell from 75.42 in 2000 to 42.6 in 2023.
09Method
Method, sources and how to cite
What this topic does not measure
Deaths in armed conflict and violent deaths per person are published here as context, because the counts are uneven between years and between sources. Crime in daily life and personal safety are not covered. Humanitarian crises driven by conflict appear in Risk & Resilience.
How the Peace & Security standing is decided
A standing is this site’s ordering, named with its edition — never a publisher’s rank. 4 key statistics vote, one vote each; every country’s published value becomes a place within that key’s own field, the places are averaged, and the average is never published. A country needs 2 of the 4 keys to be placed.
The peace & security method, step by stepHow every standing on this site is built
The key statistics and their licences
- Political Stability and Absence of Violence — World Bank Group, CC BY 4.0
- Physical Violence Index — V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Political Violence by Non-State Actors — V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg, CC BY-SA 4.0
- Global Militarisation Index — Bonn International Centre for Conflict Studies (BICC), CC BY
The other 12 statistics on this page come from 5 publishers, each named beside its numbers, with every edition and licence on the datasets pages.
The standing itself is part of the Country Index 2026, published under CC BY-SA 4.0.
Photographs
Guatemala’s banner and the countries placed highest, from their profiles: Wikimedia Commons, shown in greyscale, each used under the licence named.
- Guatemala (banner) — Arjuno3, CC BY 2.0
- Iceland — Hansueli Krapf, CC BY-SA 3.0
- Costa Rica — Henry Zbyszynski from Capitola California, USA, CC BY 2.0
- Malta — Dirk Heldmaier derivative work: Jjtkk, CC BY-SA 3.0
Cite this page
Nations Inquiry (2026). Guatemala: Peace & Security — standing and statistics, Country Index 2026. https://nationsinquiry.com/countries/guatemala/security
